Champions League · resolved market
Will Juventus FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ef06b1effa60ac7839dc3bace3a89ddace82ec126a3289ba0e071ca142bb8c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 29c | 10,493$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,494.82 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 3,665$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.36 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 3,493$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.61 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 2,442$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.41 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 71c | 2,353$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.63 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 1,468$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.55 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…6a34backed No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,004$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.57 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 26c | 1,003$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.17 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,001$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.77 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 27c | 774.87$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.87 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 71c | 704.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…8d10backed Yes | 30c | 402.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 28c | 345$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 73c | 312$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.76 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 296.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.86 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 278.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 64c | 246.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 73c | 245$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.85 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes | 42c | 238.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55f7…23a3backed No | 53c | 190.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 28c | 161$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 73c | 160.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 60 | 76.7%46 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 28c | 159.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 65c | 152.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 39c | 132.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Yes | 57c | 105.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 17c | 99.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 47c | 90.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…ea41backed Yes | 59c | 84.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…0d96backed Yes | 48c | 83.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…a3f3backed Yes | 50c | 78.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…686cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…4155backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…83a0backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…8251backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…d5b8backed No | 73c | 63.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed No | 73c | 59.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…586cbacked Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…d07ebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 73c | 41.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…cccdbacked Yes | 70c | 38.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed No | 43c | 36.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Yes | 78c | 29.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…9daabacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2677…533cbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 73c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 73c | 21.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.