TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64b5…7543backed Yes25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00014235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c18,288$13,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,582.871,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc919…a162backed Yes25c15,553$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8881513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes27c14,845$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0003531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c6,719$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.11,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No74c5,433$4,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.1410051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No73c5,308$3,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.639842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf166…b79abacked No75c5,299$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.7560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No74c3,124$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.2138048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes25c2,391$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.756653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes41c2,054$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.2738343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c2,050$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53340222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9916349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes22c1,867$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.69336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa365…ee73backed No75c1,792$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes23c1,700$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39819028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c1,473$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.158248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb483…1c3cbacked Yes24c1,421$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf475…8c9ebacked No75c1,340$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No74c1,174$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.719547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2606060%36 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4957…a5fbbacked No75c850$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes26c776.92$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes17c677.24$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes4c604.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7516136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No66c450$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.273860.5%23 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed No60c442.6$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.741656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cee…85dabacked Yes46c435.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No74c338$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8824047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No74c337$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.624623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c274$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4929846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes24c261$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.649146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes25c260.92$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.233938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.746170.5%43 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5a3…cccdbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked No77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.815567.3%37 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43c8…b5a0backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No74c185$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.16076.7%46 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…cc39backed No76c169.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec2…e905backed Yes26c159.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes26c149.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No76c149.98$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9925659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes14c142.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.534318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No75c138.07$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.526159%36 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No57c136$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8210148.5%49 W · 52 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x691d…599fbacked No76c132$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x575e…5b86backed Yes16c131.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d19…bb47backed Yes24c130$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54fb…920cbacked Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-59%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25af…b81ebacked Yes27c114.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed No77c114.29$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.292240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c6…6d71backed Yes45c112.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.491040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93d1…9daebacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…2d49backed Yes24c104.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Yes14c101.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+38.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257451.4%38 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2470%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7943…27a1backed Yes26c95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No74c93.24$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.247953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No77c92.7$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.322759.3%16 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38da…ab6fbacked Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No73c91.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7214044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x300c…b72ebacked Yes18c86.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.211414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-71.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf316…b391backed Yes29c85.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-48.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes46c84.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.034949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa0…32c5backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…db58backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcece…8c50backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25657.1%32 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No76c79.48$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.889150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed No55c78.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.132050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed No77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9210049%49 W · 51 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b43…467fbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e2…e358backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f2…f920backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Yes26c75.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…1d33backed Yes24c66.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…559abacked No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.676950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No77c65.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.045470.4%38 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44e…e72ebacked Yes24c65.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x383c…0d96backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed No75c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.753545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes27c51.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82e1…0795backed No77c50.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dd…fc22backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.54124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.