TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd2b…3e5b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+26.6%+$34.56
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$11.25
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+39.8%+$12.54
Will CA Tigre win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$36.01
Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$25.66
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40.8
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22.79
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$141.9
Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$28.97
Will CA Talleres win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.49
Will Santos FC win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$22.57
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$22.5
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.17
Will CA San Martín de San Juan win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.95
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$7.39
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$49.41
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick77cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$58.33
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$136.65
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$29.62
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$35
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22.85
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.27
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$29.87
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+37%+$41.66
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+25%+$40
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$48.31
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$30.94
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.5
Will Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.12
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$48.44
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.48
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$42.53
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.81
Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$34.35
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$44.83
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$16.13
Will Parma win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$9.56
Will Parma win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12.44
Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$28.68
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$21.67
Will Pisa SC vs. Verona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$192
Will Lecce vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10100%10 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$37.33
Will Girona win on 2025-10-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$41.82
Will Alaves win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$19.81
Will Levante UD win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$10.96
Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$30.59
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$47.79
Will Valencia win on 2025-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$26.25
Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$33.96
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$114.4
Will Real Oviedo vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$56.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick79cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czechia win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.81
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.