TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Genoa win on 2025-11-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,856 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c5,404$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,784.352,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb167…b2f9backed No72c5,096$3,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,669.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes61c4,928$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.661553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes28c4,115$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+111.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c2,598$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.98565.4%3 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+97.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064e…f484backed Yes61c2,365$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No38c1,465$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.8824657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes42c1,357$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.971,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes27c1,292$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.911832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc300…9227backed No72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5249…848fbacked Yes29c999.98$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No71c953$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.63977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed No73c944.71$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.64666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No54c791.13$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.6796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02c…2cf8backed No72c790$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.8666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes33c737.18$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No53c710$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.262254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No42c669.53$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7443058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes28c650$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.58463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes8c625$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5752055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.244734%16 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No42c473.65$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.937945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No72c446.92$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7216154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed No73c412.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed No40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes28c396.55$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.526851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes8c350$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3222910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Yes57c349.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+46.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes28c333.37$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.029651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes57c331.6$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3712050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9df…f9fbbacked Yes28c280.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a8…2a71backed No73c275.92$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes24c255.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.253857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No74c231.08$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1718065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No69c225$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1824849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed Yes18c196.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.832740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked No73c191.78$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403250%16 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes28c175$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1269643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes28c167.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4412923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed No72c144.44$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042568%17 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No74c141.17$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…aaecbacked No71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004663%29 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x770e…a3f2backed No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd44…b2e2backed No43c138.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005560%33 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f7e…a411backed Yes59c109.75$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2e…edbdbacked Yes58c108.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c28…78c8backed Yes58c108.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes58c108.47$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5614254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes30c106.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.672254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes28c104.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88f…987abacked Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+190.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes29c102.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes28c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.52433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No72c96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.126162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes58c94.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.832259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb6…38babacked Yes61c92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0689…dd8bbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df8…3ee8backed Yes18c83.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.33425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7147…ab83backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed No79c75.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609353.8%50 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8d…e3ebbacked No73c73.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.432245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dfc…d9e0backed No73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2f…556bbacked Yes61c67.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ec…68a8backed No74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No72c67.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed No72c64.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.611361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes28c63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.365538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes28c56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.322339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked No39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x230a…2704backed No71c49.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.03560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed Yes60c49.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b75…4896backed Yes61c48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No38c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.310260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf725…498cbacked No71c43.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6d…a980backed No71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91f…5d15backed No72c41.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed No73c41.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a7…8150backed No72c41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d0…214cbacked No42c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x967b…3824backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21cc…949fbacked No71c32.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…6e54backed No43c31.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9001…d212backed No71c30.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9664…c1c1backed No72c30.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No43c30.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1317948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125918.6%11 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c7e…da31backed No72c28.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e24…68febacked No72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x428b…d8aebacked No72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x535a…8b84backed No73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa198…acc5backed No73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf47e…5031backed No73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed No72c24.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.782045%9 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed No73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157058.6%41 W · 29 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.