TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x10ec…68a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Commodities at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.4
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.8
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$148.5
Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.74
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.36
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$35.13
Will CA Huracán win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will CA Talleres win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$14.35
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$5.88
Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.84
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-10-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-81.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Flames vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+89.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Mavericksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+400%+$40
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$161.39
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$94.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$19.94
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.42
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$1,061.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+139.8%+$292.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe vs. Girona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.