Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-10-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4741b65714ab9939a0ad2628d9cd4e891c7c90e11ddc78dfe00ff2bb00dbc509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 9,229$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,859.6 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 75c | 6,500$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,495$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.44 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed No | 76c | 1,972$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 25c | 1,404$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.18 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 1,294$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.75 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…5b91backed No | 77c | 1,165$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 76c | 724.69$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.93 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 71c | 600.33$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.08 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 71c | 600$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…3e72backed No | 60c | 473.97$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 23c | 473.76$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.79 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 362.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.7 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 30c | 331$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 301.54$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.11 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 26c | 226.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.88 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.43 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Yes | 28c | 165.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 22c | 150.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.69 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 26c | 79.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…e189backed No | 73c | 54.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd1…3f93backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b60…5593backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…2510backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-10-31?this page
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-31?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.