Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x539c863d9355741b505b748197c6fa6ad9b449645c209ad180bef870290963ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 27c | 70,000$19,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,250 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 63c | 25,942$16,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,619.52 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 64c | 11,485$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134.52 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 67c | 9,286$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 17c | 5,751$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 33c | 4,996$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.62 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 35c | 3,214$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.14 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,463$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 1,881$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.6 | 1,933 | 45.3%876 W · 1,057 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,830$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.31 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 17c | 991$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked No | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked No | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked No | 65c | 551.31$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 34c | 430.76$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.46 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 5c | 409.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 62c | 382.86$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.49 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 36c | 381.03$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 270 | 46.3%125 W · 145 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 28c | 359.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd01…d95bbacked Yes | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 35c | 289.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 12c | 241.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 79c | 177.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 74cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce17…716abacked No | 64c | 124.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed No | 64c | 118.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…affdbacked Yes | 38c | 116.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…33b2backed Yes | 38c | 108.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…92cebacked No | 64c | 100.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 233 | 60.5%141 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked No | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…3528backed Yes | 38c | 90.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…52ccbacked Yes | 34c | 89.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…6c72backed No | 64c | 85.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…7c10backed Yes | 38c | 73.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 62c | 56.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe561…0753backed No | 65c | 50.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed No | 65c | 42.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 65c | 41.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…2649backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…a980backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…49d5backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…79f0backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 68c | 27.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 62c | 24.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…17d2backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…6020backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…da31backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-29?No won
- Will Paris FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.