TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cdf…edf9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT5371.7%38 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$17.32
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$98.55
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+43.4%+$22.04
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24.01
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$10.45
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+44.9%+$81.11
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$59.14
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$36.5
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$34.71
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+30.4%+$87.84
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+35.4%+$37.29
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.27
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$11.4
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$13.64
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.51
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.86
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$33.31
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$20.05
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.61
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST3458.8%20 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.21
Open de Moselle: Corentin Moutet vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Laslo Djerebacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Jiangxi Open: Lilli Tagger vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.78
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$16.28
Rolex Paris Masters: Jaume Munar vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Comesanabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinnbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$40.94
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexandre Muller vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.17
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$35.94
Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Vukic vs Terence Atmanebacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$20
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Ethan Quinnbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.5
Swiss Indoors Basel: Casper Ruud vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelkabacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$19.06
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$34.61
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Varvara Grachevabacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$33.39
Erste Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.27
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Andrey Rublevbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+48.6%+$29.47
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbertbacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.88
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick74cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Oilers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$24.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$46.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$11.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$29.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czechia win on 2025-10-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$32.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.