Fifa International · resolved market
Will Czechia win on 2025-10-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4071b1f93c8fdfaf64c11e5faf3cb9fb0d1da598d9bd8dfcf0c926b6d033fc95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 3,043$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.99 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 2,766$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 30c | 2,655$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed No | 72c | 2,356$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 29c | 1,730$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.73 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 71c | 1,041$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked No | 76c | 955.34$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed Yes | 29c | 509.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed No | 72c | 416.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 28c | 385.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 72c | 361.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f1…958ebacked Yes | 28c | 356.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 11c | 333$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 71c | 329.58$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 72c | 321.79$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 69c | 177.96$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 29c | 136$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed No | 71c | 111.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 70c | 106.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…4fd4backed No | 71c | 105.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a82…a163backed Yes | 19c | 102.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…d2afbacked Yes | 30c | 99.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 29c | 81.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 29c | 70.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…0287backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…f103backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…35d1backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 30c | 63.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bb…09d2backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edc…4a7abacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…b799backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ad…fa6cbacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Czechia win on 2025-10-09?this page
- Will Croatia win on 2025-10-09?No won
- Will Czechia vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.