TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32ea…a857

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT5238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Serbia win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.8
Will England win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.65
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$416.99
Will Slovenia vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.8
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+133.6%+$1,335.58
Will Wales win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$73.49
Will Slovakia win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$165.16
Will Slovakia vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$69.51
Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.25
Will North Macedonia vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$437
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,974.98
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+245.2%+$1,730.81
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+277.6%+$917.99
Will Wales vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$213.53
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,719.1
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.44
Will Uzbekistan vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$30.96
Will Uruguay win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Romania vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Romania win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.84
Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.98
Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+122%+$115.4
Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$79.8
Will Denmark vs. Greece end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$91
Will Greece win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+158.7%+$366.4
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$439.99
Liverpool vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will Fulham vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.11
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$8,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,157.77
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.68
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$237.09
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$9.25
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$1,136.47
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$144.69
Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$462.74
Will Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.14
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$751.4
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$182
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,372.72
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,177Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$413.39
All 16 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$142
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$143.01
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,247.52
Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.14
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2025-10-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$326.19
Will Racing Club vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.48
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-10-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$255.17
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-10-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$512.98
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$328.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+693.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+693.9%+$2,323.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$33.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$75.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.