Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bc4b4f36fe5ab9e03c12691035476ba2d21bec33e72623e6758a06d9e10a8d4

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 18, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $91,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $96,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,070 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes	26c	16,736$4,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,351.36	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No	74c	10,000$7,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	92	63%58 W · 34 L	+9.7wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+28%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No	77c	7,557$5,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,747.67	357	58%207 W · 150 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	5c	5,645$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.16	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes	25c	4,383$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086.45	111	55.9%62 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	24c	3,653$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.49	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	72c	3,000$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.99	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	62c	2,559$1,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.99	189	58.7%111 W · 78 L	+12.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Yes	10c	2,400$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes	27c	2,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Yes	28c	1,890$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No	78c	1,715$1,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.86	413	44.8%185 W · 228 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2085…8ad2backed Yes	28c	1,647$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dab…3cc4backed No	73c	1,647$1,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.72	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d95…9d3cbacked No	73c	1,632$1,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.7	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85ec…57d6backed Yes	28c	1,632$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.02	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…a857backed No	74c	1,590$1,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.39	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd939…9eefbacked Yes	28c	1,535$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf453…9c8dbacked No	73c	1,535$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.36	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	73c	1,514$1,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.7	466	51.9%242 W · 224 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes	27c	1,481$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	70	28.6%20 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes	35c	1,429$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes	27c	1,284$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.63	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No	74c	1,210$895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.6	104	55.8%58 W · 46 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6327…e181backed Yes	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa4…17c0backed No	74c	999.95$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.99	69	63.8%44 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	29c	973$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.44	272	35.7%97 W · 175 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Yes	39c	964.87$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.3	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-10%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No	73c	876.71$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.71	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Yes	23c	795.13$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.88	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes	26c	769.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	87	36.8%32 W · 55 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Yes	28c	701.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7b…0179backed Yes	32c	625$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	27c	485.56$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	270	24.8%67 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No	78c	474.32$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.11	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked No	74c	385.14$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.14	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	74cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	27c	367$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.09	689	42.2%291 W · 398 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes	27c	288.89$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	97	24.7%24 W · 73 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes	10c	270$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e2…9710backed Yes	33c	213.17$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.7wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc99…86babacked Yes	6c	209.52$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…2032backed Yes	26c	200.19$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44b4…08d7backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.7wins	-0.46per pick	59cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde43…ec94backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa633…497dbacked Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe3ab…d418backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x618a…6196backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe7ea…f860backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf0ae…0426backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Yes	24c	163.67$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.28	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe200…15d6backed Yes	26c	153.85$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cb7…6019backed Yes	28c	150$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes	24c	149.47$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.87	64	50%32 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa429…792bbacked Yes	26c	142.5$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	28c	108$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e24…cea8backed Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x463c…7d78backed Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No	61c	99.99$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+5.5wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+53.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No	72c	99.29$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.41	316	55.1%174 W · 142 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes	32c	93.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+11.6wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+73%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	28cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6073…d82fbacked Yes	28c	89.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes	29c	86.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6193…592cbacked No	76c	83.42$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.02	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No	73c	80.56$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.75	255	45.5%116 W · 139 L	-18.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	74c	80$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No	70c	72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	227	64.8%147 W · 80 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes	28c	70$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes	33c	69.7$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	126	23%29 W · 97 L	-11.6wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e81…650dbacked No	75c	69.33$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.33	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacf9…6cd8backed Yes	31c	64.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x678f…baa0backed No	73c	58.9$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes	26c	57.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No	64c	54.17$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd349…d521backed No	75c	53.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfd…6704backed No	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Yes	30c	47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x115a…097fbacked Yes	25c	45.88$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No	74c	45.85$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.04	175	49.1%86 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f1…04b3backed Yes	26c	42.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-49%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	72c	41$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.49	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x851b…13c4backed No	76c	31.18$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.48	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No	74c	28.08$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.3	179	58.1%104 W · 75 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked No	75c	27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.75	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7077…e94dbacked No	72c	26.39$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.39	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02c…a000backed No	75c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	65cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.9	171	53.8%92 W · 79 L	+10.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd68…c423backed No	76c	19.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.75	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f1…ae82backed No	71c	15.49$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.49	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?this page
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event