TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e24…cea8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$46.13
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+301.6%+$113.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+32.5%+$49
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Galatasaray end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Manchester United vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Tottenham vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.37
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Everton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-42.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$180
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$201.3
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+77%+$87
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.69
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$91
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$42.71
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+52.5%+$196.86
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$610
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$126
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$141
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$132
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+71.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+132.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$55
BC Dubai vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greecebacked Turkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+98%+$196.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+110.3%+$96.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $185?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$276
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Udinese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.