Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9aef3a7765b9140676eec351e58f2ef153ec32feab793c375874450cfd5317a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 2,050$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,564$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…56cbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,330$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 1,215$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Yes | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 660.9$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 16c | 625.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…7fe1backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 23c | 453.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…f3d4backed Yes | 16c | 343.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…37dabacked Yes | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 77c | 263.27$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 16c | 262.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…cea8backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…cd90backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 14c | 146.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 121$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 16c | 117.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 16c | 116$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 10c | 114.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 15c | 94.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 80c | 91.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…8df4backed Yes | 16c | 75.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 59.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will PAOK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PAOK win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.