TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2936…07f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
259
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10932.1%35 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Fernandes be the player with the most assists in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$63.36
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+306.3%+$32.18
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+195.8%+$21.54
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+250.8%+$30.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$46.94
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+376.2%+$41.38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+144%+$118.26
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$49.08
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT3112.9%4 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-72.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.58
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$38.38
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$44.28
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$49.11
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.99
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$540.7
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$22.53
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.63
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$45.86
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$35.23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$92.57
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$122.04
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$29.53
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$23.83
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will CD Mirandés win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21.93
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+126.5%+$31.62
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+270.4%+$54.07
All 24 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$47.65
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.4
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$45.15
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$77.99
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$54.95
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.12
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$29.69
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.62
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$12.42
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+170.3%+$20.43
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$21.58
Will Stuttgart beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+284.7%+$36.68
Will RB Leipzig beat Bayern Munich?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$10.85
All 23 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will PSV win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will AZ win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.79
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.26
Will AZ win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.18
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+704.2%+$77.46
Will AZ win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Will AZ win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+199.7%+$29.95
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+150%+$25.5
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Will FC Porto beat Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 21 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+132.6%+$73.53
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.99
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.88
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$26.34
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.38
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Juventus beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+270.4%+$29.74
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$33
Will AEK win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will FCSB win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$32.4
Will Manchester United beat Rangers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.03
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+310%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+310%+$57.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Moana 2' gross less than $135m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$167.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$49.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.