Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7b1540344139f6e859363bb1332c76a476326ecd6b98c87f6100dd85f2b1c4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 13c | 10,201$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,875.23 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…8506backed No | 0c | 5,133$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 3,555$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.51 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,535$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 1,573$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.56 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 13c | 1,239$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.36 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 4c | 698.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 13c | 384.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.54 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 15c | 350$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.78 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…141ebacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked No | 9c | 110.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…9069backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 60c | 96.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 12c | 88.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 52c | 82.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…c293backed No | 26c | 75.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Celtic FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.