Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2499e2136b7e51c200c9c95d960fe069e07a11c1cd71edf415769fbc9633f0ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 74c | 6,177$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 4,211$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…2b34backed Yes | 68c | 1,146$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 26c | 1,064$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.66 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 32c | 952.72$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.85 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…9e3cbacked No | 75c | 610.56$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 57c | 360$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 36c | 279.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.79 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638f…2edcbacked Yes | 9c | 222.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 165.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 26c | 156$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0de6…2393backed Yes | 71c | 141.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 41c | 125.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 121.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 20c | 121.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d0…26c7backed Yes | 25c | 108.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Yes | 26c | 103$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…edbdbacked Yes | 50c | 99.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 11c | 97.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 62c | 86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 38c | 86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 64c | 73.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…23d2backed Yes | 28c | 70.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 70c | 57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 30c | 53.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…fa11backed Yes | 26c | 50.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 62c | 48.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5d…014bbacked Yes | 34c | 46.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 76c | 38.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 43c | 30.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…04afbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 73c | 22.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Yes | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 55c | 18.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.