TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa67d…c6f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
755
Categories scored
40
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT25029.2%73 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 250 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$56.1
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$62.9
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+404.1%+$68.14
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$54.4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.2
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$63.45
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.61
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or higher on March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+295.9%+$61.08
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or higher on March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+341.1%+$77.33
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.2
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.88
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+408%+$73.49
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Showing 25 of 250 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT9226.1%24 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 19.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.32
Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 32m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 7.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.05
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.62
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will "Vladimir" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT7727.3%21 W · 56 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta (META) close at $610-$620 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Will Meta (META) close at $600-$610 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$73.95
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $410-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$58.65
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at <$130 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Meta (META) close at <$610 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$53.55
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will Meta (META) close at $610-$620 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$51.85
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$365 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $245-$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $146-$148 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $360-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Will Meta (META) close at $530-$540 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Meta (META) close at $540-$550 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$6,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,400-$6,500 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $154-$156 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT4323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.26
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will "Risk It All - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.71
Will 'The Mountain' - Gorillaz debut week album sales be less than 50k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+324%+$37.96
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+627.5%+$85.67
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Sayf win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
Will Tommaso Paradiso win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
Will 'Luck... or Something' - Hilary Duff debut week album sales be at least 40k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$13.73
Will 'Cloud 9' - Megan Moroney debut week album sales be at least 45k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+614.3%+$62.78
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.88
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$129.1
Will The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+300%+$37.5
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$102.9
Will I’m The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.81
Will Kendrick Lamar win 4 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT3221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
Will Elon Musk post 60+ tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 30-39 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.94
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.7
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.84
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3020%6 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-54%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
AI — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.77
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.73
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.17
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.19
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$62.05
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.12
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$19.12
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.79
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.77
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Threads be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100.2
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.01
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.12
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.8%+$8.98
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.35
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.08
Will Michael Soetaert be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.88
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.77
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.19
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.83
Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44.04
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.66
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$92.98
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be 2,800,000 voters or greater?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be below 2,000,000 voters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will Jesse Jackson Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and lose the 2026 Texas Senate General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.59
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+60.8%+$11.44
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+203%+$67
Will Donald Trump make no endorsement or endorse someone other than Ken Paxton, John Cornyn, or Wesley Hunt for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.86
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
Will Green Left win <20 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Will the Social Democrats win 35-39 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win between 40 and 49 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will Nepali Communist Party win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will AV (Green Alliance) win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$62.81
Will PCC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.86
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$42.5
Will the margin of victory in the Gorton and Denton by-election be less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+284.6%+$42.89
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.88
Will the margin of victory in the Gorton and Denton by-election be between 3% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour finish second in the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.83
Will Partido Popular win 28-30 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$31.28
Will FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.67
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will André Ventura win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.44
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.96
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+270.4%+$70.81
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.34
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+426.3%+$81
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$87.54
Will Salford City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$189.28
Will Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+669.2%+$116.06
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$133.7
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.04
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.51
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$243.03
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+126%+$55.75
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Blackpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$46.16
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.1%+$55.49
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$145.1
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$312.82
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$20.73
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+248.8%+$64.91
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52.1
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.83
Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.58
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Will CD Huachipato vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.14
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$752.4
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.45
Will CA Huracán vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.19
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+266.7%+$32.72
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will CF Pachuca vs. Club León FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+354.5%+$170.57
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$150.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+235.2%+$57.57
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Mexico’s January unemployment rate be greater than or equal to 2.7%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+150%+$30.77
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.38
Will the U.K.’s October–December 2025 unemployment rate be 5.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+86.8%+$25.55
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.07
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$69.35
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+164.5%+$130.19
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Korea win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 5000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.98
Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 5000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+233.3%+$51.1
Will Alex Ferreira (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+376.2%+$63.2
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
Will William Dandjinou (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.57
Will Jens Van’t Wout (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
Will Zoi Sadowski Synnott (NZL) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.94
Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.69
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.02
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+244.8%+$58.93
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.4
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.33
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.98
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+39.3%+$14.02
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$75 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+222.4%+$42.43
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$83
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+40.2%+$61.06
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$93.63
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.36
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.84
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wichita State win the 2026 American conference championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Purdue win the 2026 Big Ten title?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
Will San Diego State win the 2026 Mountain West conference championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Utah State win the 2026 Mountain West conference championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Will Saint Louis win the 2026 A-10 conference championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Kent State win the 2026 MAC conference championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.05
Will Florida A&M win the 2026 SWAC conference championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will St. John’s win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$22.94
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$46.75
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$16.29
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$26.7
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$85.04
Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.61
Will Ivory Coast win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.08
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+53.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+206.7%+$26.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aurora Gaming win ESL Pro League Season 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Will Astralis win ESL Pro League Season 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+300%+$39.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 16 - 22 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+132.3%+$15.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be fewer than 2 major space weather events this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viper win Tyler 1 All Star tournament week 5? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.