South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca vs. Club León FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe126b30cf3b3b7cc9213e42b5e7c6009753af12ccf31ad68d3f52b1ce09e66c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 1,280$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 918.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.99 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 79c | 516$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 499.18$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 26c | 363.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 24c | 337.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 19c | 285$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c20…f190backed Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 79c | 252$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 205.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…dd18backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 8c | 164.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 76c | 159.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 137.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 34c | 95.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Yes | 21c | 93.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 74.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 28c | 70.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 73c | 64.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 23c | 45.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 72c | 45.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 32.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed No | 79c | 31.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Club León FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-13?Yes won
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-01-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.