South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a44a404de25a9a74cf735349b97b79270fdaae72e510ddbbeee71f8ef4a2cac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 8,964$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.67 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 7,537$5,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 3,050$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 24c | 1,104$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 719.94$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 79c | 709.09$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 7c | 625$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 620.33$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 606.1$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 589.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 555.91$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 24c | 423.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 357.6$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 80c | 338.06$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked No | 78c | 175.44$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 21c | 152.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 80c | 145$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 20c | 128.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 79c | 125.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…7ec0backed Yes | 21c | 103.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 80c | 98.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed No | 80c | 90.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 80c | 89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 80c | 86.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…3cdbbacked Yes | 21c | 69.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…84babacked Yes | 20c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 79c | 54.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed No | 80c | 54.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 47.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 80c | 43.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed No | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 77c | 28.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 79c | 19.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 78c | 18.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 80c | 15.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 80c | 13.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Club León FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.