TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6d3…432a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
280
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 60 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST7866.7%52 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$193.5
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+540.7%+$354.44
Will Leicester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+471.4%+$82.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Preston North End FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3171%22 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will US Lecce win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2979.3%23 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Granada CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.89
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2871.4%20 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Santos FC vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will CF América win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Club León FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Botafogo FR vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will SC Internacional vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will EC Vitória vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Ceará SC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will SC Internacional win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2025-11-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will CA San Martín de San Juan win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will EC Vitória win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will CA Huracán win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.98
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will PAOK win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+25%+$4
All 23 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2090%18 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick70cpaid+30.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will PSV win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1580%12 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will FC Metz win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Paris FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will FC Metz win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Toulouse FC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Algeria vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Algeria vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Will NEOM SC win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.