Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc2f12cb140c759e0b864b616d84bb0eb4b312b92c9ad7b50cf22dadd53e9f04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed No | 67c | 67,245$44,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,999.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 29,812$9,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,973.72 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Yes | 34c | 27,078$9,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,871.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 9,900$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250.82 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 33c | 8,884$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,956.47 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Yes | 35c | 8,273$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,382.46 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.65 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 56c | 2,978$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.49 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 2,829$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.06 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 66c | 2,699$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.04 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 43c | 2,573$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.42 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 33c | 2,476$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.75 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 65c | 2,011$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.34 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,958$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.89 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 55c | 1,712$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.28 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 30c | 1,668$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.48 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,548$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.15 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 65c | 1,318$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.63 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 23c | 999.1$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.31 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 34c | 879.02$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.19 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 65c | 800$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 26c | 773.08$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.08 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 767.46$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.76 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 61c | 661.25$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.35 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 35c | 379.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.55 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 34c | 350.77$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.51 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked No | 72c | 333.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 37c | 325.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 35c | 279.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.84 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 35c | 271.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.43 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 36c | 263.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 67c | 250$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 33c | 210$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…2ff0backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 33c | 174$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 33c | 165$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 36c | 139.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 36c | 133.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 19c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 110$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 35c | 99.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Yes | 35c | 94.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Yes | 27c | 89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…1096backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 29c | 83.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 34c | 83.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 35c | 75.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…02c8backed Yes | 34c | 66.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 65c | 63.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked No | 51c | 60.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 34c | 56.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb2…951bbacked Yes | 35c | 47.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 34c | 44.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 64c | 42.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a0…c396backed Yes | 35c | 41.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 64c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 64c | 38.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…3abcbacked Yes | 35c | 30.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 80c | 30.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa1…3240backed Yes | 36c | 30.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +151.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked No | 66c | 28.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e77…ec4ebacked No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…2739backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f639backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…9f4dbacked No | 66c | 21.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…21a3backed No | 66c | 21.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…925fbacked No | 66c | 21.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.