TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xddd1…2739

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT4257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.49
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.54
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.46
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$37.57
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.45
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.94
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.31
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$65.44
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.59
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.22
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.75
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$6.86
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$4.63
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$39.47
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+455.6%+$91.11
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$42.44
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.01
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$19.24
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+60.1%+$6.36
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+52.1%+$10.42
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Ducksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Devils vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+57.5%+$17.25
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.84
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+123.9%+$19.92
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+77.5%+$11.79
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+170.3%+$17.64
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+90.5%+$19
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+83.5%+$9.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.64
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.29
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.02
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$3.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+36.1%+$3.71
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.88
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$41.37
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+60.7%+$12.13
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.8wins-0.42per pick64cpaid-70.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-53.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Kennesaw State vs. Western Michiganbacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13.42
Army vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+39.9%+$4.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$13.52
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$6.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$50.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+142.4%+$22.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+51.4%+$5.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$31.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Wuning: Ye Chen vs Zhao Zhaobacked Ye Chen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.