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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,549,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,754,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,549,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb5…c494backed Yes65c3,133,404$2,050,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050,657.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No34c336,687$114,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,830.365257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No34c294,841$100,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194,455.351520%3 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-51.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No35c277,447$96,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180,462.867247.2%34 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed No36c274,977$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174,977.26560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No35c229,291$79,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149,407.233751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No34c171,479$58,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,161.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No34c139,000$47,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,739.992445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c122,380$43,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,916.988644.4%393 W · 493 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No34c119,538$41,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,354.075341.5%22 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No34c107,678$36,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,067.48540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No34c97,127$33,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,104.593423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed No35c81,975$28,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,283.514100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+116.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No35c79,138$27,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,503.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes54c65,150$35,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,485.914045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Yes61c61,577$37,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,536.482740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No34c56,880$19,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,380.614850%24 W · 24 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No34c53,000$18,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,979.991747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No34c47,355$16,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,254.32740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes54c47,083$25,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,296.77933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No39c43,575$16,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,630.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No34c40,000$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,4003100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+162.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No37c39,679$14,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,828.67911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-70.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c38,502$14,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,697.1362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No34c38,166$12,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,189.471838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No41c37,472$15,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,121.9124746.2%114 W · 133 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No34c35,000$11,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76be…120ebacked No37c34,996$12,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,047.652040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No35c33,814$11,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,979.15763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No34c32,676$11,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,553.592941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No36c31,157$11,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,968.22540%10 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes56c29,756$16,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,663.529244.6%41 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No35c28,763$10,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,757.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No34c27,100$9,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,885.99580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+115.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No34c26,990$9,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,747.571250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No37c26,249$9,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,600.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No34c26,008$8,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,165.372142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No36c24,640$8,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,799.992934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No36c24,045$8,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,284.792733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed No35c22,698$7,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,753.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No36c22,393$8,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,286.431030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No34c21,706$7,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,325.75944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No36c21,290$7,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,720.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes63c20,661$13,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,100650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No36c20,430$7,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,115.188456%47 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No34c20,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,20013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No38c19,640$7,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,176.82835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No34c15,981$5,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,547.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No36c15,696$5,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,070.3412963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No34c15,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,9001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No39c12,835$5,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,829.223053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No39c12,501$4,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,672.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No34c11,903$4,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,855.981942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No39c11,750$4,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,167.51936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c11,411$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,118.031,44141%591 W · 850 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes2c11,311$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.111127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No34c11,141$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,352.782236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c11,070$5,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,947.6355349.5%274 W · 279 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16af…2cf0backed No34c10,028$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,618.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed No44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6003100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No35c9,805$3,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,334.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No34c9,783$3,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,456.783351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No36c9,588$3,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,172.1734035.9%122 W · 218 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No39c9,456$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,813.0919949.2%98 W · 101 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No35c9,150$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,947.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51f9…26f8backed No36c8,651$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,500.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No35c8,571$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,571.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No34c8,083$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,307.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed Yes37c7,222$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x586a…6610backed No35c7,023$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,532.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+182%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No37c6,486$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,086.491330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No46c6,400$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4566547.7%31 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No37c6,372$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,003.225846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No35c6,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9004057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed No34c6,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9601100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3603053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No38c5,874$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,634.5520450%102 W · 102 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No38c5,854$2,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600.5528648.6%139 W · 147 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes4c5,465$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6824948.6%121 W · 128 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No35c5,014$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,259.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No46c4,895$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.041435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No46c4,800$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5924548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No38c4,605$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No49c4,258$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.316651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes64c4,252$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.23354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No40c4,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4205547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No35c4,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6002751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes64c4,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eaa…cba1backed No63c4,000$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes7c3,476$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No71c3,464$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.6610938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes64c3,060$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9802466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No37c2,983$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.2116748.5%81 W · 86 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No39c2,977$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.925757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No46c2,800$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5125151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No34c2,782$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008834.1%30 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.