Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c2c5ea6986355cb5ae7299214d009232c9879d2d596e5511dbb27605a3d32f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes | 22c | 20,326$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,468.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 22c | 13,550$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 78c | 10,030$7,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 78c | 7,006$5,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.32 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 4,632$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.81 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 79c | 4,605$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 22c | 2,773$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.89 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 2,665$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.23 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 79c | 1,515$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…6a2bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,209$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 22c | 975$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.84 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 21c | 761.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 722.59$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.54 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 79c | 457.94$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 23c | 452.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 446.99$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 22c | 436.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…3177backed Yes | 22c | 394.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes | 22c | 374.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 23c | 303.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 79c | 302.09$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 19c | 269.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 12c | 242.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 21c | 219.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 18c | 205.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…f2fdbacked Yes | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 17c | 195.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 20c | 194.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes | 11c | 194$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 77c | 193.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 168.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 7c | 147.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…92d3backed Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 77c | 75.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6b…3962backed Yes | 19c | 74.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked No | 78c | 65.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Yes | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked No | 79c | 53.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a0…a8a6backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…3b62backed No | 78c | 44.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 76cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…53f7backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5262…ea0abacked No | 78c | 15.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 77c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.