TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5262…ea0a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.47
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.78
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.83
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.53
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.05
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.05
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.9
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.24
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.83
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.46
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.4
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.64
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.39
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.2
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.41
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.39
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1984.2%16 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.39
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.53
Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.51
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.29
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.77
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.01
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.08
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.41
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.8
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.48
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.78
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.99
Will Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.22
Will Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.94
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.73
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.23
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.57
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.51
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.16
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.41
Will Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.46
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+37%+$3.83
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick72cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.44
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$4.76
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.25
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.05
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.71
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$82.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.51
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.28
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.1
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.31
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.4
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.21
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.99
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.29
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.29
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+36.9%+$4.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.8%+$17.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.