Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a5e086790f3ef587c6c3cbfbab79f1d44c4abe6cd49eddc9aed92365063ba85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 24c | 18,888$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,533.12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 76c | 18,332$13,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.72 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…8e17backed No | 75c | 8,819$6,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 76c | 5,165$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 4,515$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.22 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 26c | 3,676$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.64 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed Yes | 26c | 3,602$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 3,133$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.08 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,613$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.19 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…f8d2backed Yes | 18c | 2,580$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,946$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 74c | 1,242$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.82 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed No | 74c | 1,036$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 3c | 974.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 24c | 648.47$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 590$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 3c | 495.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes | 20c | 477.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 457.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 75c | 356.59$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 14c | 335.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 19c | 291.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…91a6backed Yes | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 17c | 223.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 75c | 222.4$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…9b6bbacked Yes | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 16c | 179.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 176.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Yes | 22c | 172.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…d39abacked Yes | 16c | 148.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 145.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 80c | 127.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 18c | 117.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Yes | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Yes | 20c | 110.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 101.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 94.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…bbf6backed Yes | 25c | 89.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 16c | 81.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed Yes | 26c | 74.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 76c | 59.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…92c1backed Yes | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 26c | 54.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…9547backed No | 75c | 49.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…b7b7backed Yes | 26c | 48.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 24c | 47.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Yes | 26c | 46.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Yes | 25c | 46.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 76c | 39.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 75c | 29.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5262…ea0abacked No | 76c | 18.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?this page
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.