Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe02baadbf09ed7142300ed7d37caf56f5923e5ee2f1fd79f8d5186e6451535e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x454a…f8d2backed Yes | 1c | 132,596$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.54 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 18c | 8,058$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.39 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 2,046$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.65 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,017$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.49 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 7c | 1,522$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 19c | 1,140$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.39 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 4c | 963.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 13c | 765.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 4c | 596.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 575.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 19c | 500.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 19c | 500.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 19c | 500$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 495.98$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 448.3$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 18c | 413.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 18c | 332$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 14c | 233.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 18c | 190.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7d…21c7backed Yes | 6c | 172.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 20c | 166.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 21c | 158.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 150.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 20c | 147.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 140.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 111$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 21c | 99.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 18c | 91.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 85.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Yes | 19c | 79.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 19c | 75.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 18c | 73.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 21c | 68.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 18c | 64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 19c | 53.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed No | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 80c | 15.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
- Will Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.