TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$638,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$754,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c111,953$30,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,939.084,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over66c75,000$49,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,499.9515552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under32c68,311$21,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,989.231,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under33c67,090$22,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,139.6322348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over67c44,444$29,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,666.5242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Over67c31,009$20,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,233.033167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under29c23,646$6,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,876.433,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a0…2378backed Over67c18,349$12,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,055.141369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over65c16,356$10,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,712.6577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under35c13,588$4,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.812255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Over67c13,486$9,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,450.283240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over67c8,955$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.2231644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over68c8,854$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.368353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c8,347$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.751,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under15c6,933$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.8344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over66c6,738$4,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.858158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Over67c6,406$4,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.3913959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Over66c6,100$4,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0563060%18 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under33c6,015$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.898938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under15c5,997$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.2839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under35c5,719$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under34c5,500$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under34c5,500$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.9747643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c5,026$3,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under34c4,800$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,63237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over65c4,140$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.0810949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under28c4,024$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.642,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over67c3,726$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.272,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over67c3,500$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under34c3,500$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.9948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under10c3,477$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.5423857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under32c3,277$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.712,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3410…2343backed Over66c3,261$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over66c3,076$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.765062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99030950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over66c2,897$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.8210355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c2,827$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.623,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under14c2,593$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.769835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82536247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under33c2,417$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.592,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under33c2,100$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.373,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under12c2,090$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1326647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under14c2,000$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.997828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over67c1,948$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.7611963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under6c1,764$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4c…2961backed Under18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under12c1,667$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.458728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under34c1,590$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.2948152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under33c1,555$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.16043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.158672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5430465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under33c1,480$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.410744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under33c1,462$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.5664443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under33c1,419$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.4463255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under34c1,393$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.7128025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under34c1,361$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.812146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under15c1,328$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.211841.5%49 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked Under34c1,271$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4324057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under34c1,269$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.291,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Under15c1,262$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0825753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under4c1,252$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3825125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c1,160$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over67c1,100$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.31,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over67c1,091$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0410042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over66c1,061$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.612958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over67c1,032$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5210756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x241e…2de2backed Under34c1,024$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60bf…15aabacked Over66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Under18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803345.5%15 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+155.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under34c999$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6633443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under9c988.9$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under35c984$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.41,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ecc…3ed9backed Over67c915.33$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.062540%10 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over66c909.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.0937955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over67c895.52$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.5210261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+81.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under12c833.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under34c764.96$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0937452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Over67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2711619.8%23 W · 93 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under34c743.52$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.83,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under12c736.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.082,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Over67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23113349.6%66 W · 67 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under32c681.67$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1768141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd2…d736backed Over66c680.08$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.231723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-59.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under34c670.7$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0634144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under34c665.5$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.272,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under15c644.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2747546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a02…8773backed Over67c626.87$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.874060%24 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Under18c624$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.727040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Over67c613.43$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4312249.2%60 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfb…11e1backed Over66c605.94$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.021118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-73.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over65c599.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21037753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…44aabacked Over67c591.25$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.115068%34 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Under34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.