Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaf43ca47e001c5f4ce7b70df01ac1a117f6462dff360d2d3ac1a17a3bc82885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Under | 0c | 70,349$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 65,770$16,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,199.43 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Under | 24c | 26,103$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,203.71 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Over | 75c | 25,897$19,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,472.08 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 23,450$5,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,835.66 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…6c83backed Over | 76c | 19,244$14,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 76c | 14,164$10,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.28 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 25c | 11,995$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.99 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Over | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 76c | 7,994$6,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.34 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…09febacked Over | 77c | 5,215$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.65 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 22c | 2,766$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.92 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 23c | 2,713$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.21 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…cb6cbacked Over | 76c | 2,628$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.84 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Over | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 75c | 1,999$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.77 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 74c | 1,935$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.98 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Over | 77c | 1,670$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.3 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under | 24c | 1,457$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.25 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…dafdbacked Over | 76c | 1,160$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 77c | 1,009$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 25c | 999.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Over | 76c | 999.77$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.94 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 25c | 999$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.83 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d231backed Over | 76c | 960.43$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 25c | 782.84$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.05 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Over | 77c | 779.59$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.59 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd312…4a63backed Over | 78c | 755.66$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…5750backed Over | 76c | 737.25$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 76c | 704.75$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.34 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +16.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 76c | 609.18$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a8…d6f1backed Over | 76c | 590$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 75c | 575.31$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 23c | 532.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Over | 75c | 532.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71cbbacked Over | 77c | 503.47$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Under | 23c | 487.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…fb8fbacked Over | 76c | 390.35$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Over | 77c | 386.4$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 23c | 369.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9daf…f56dbacked Over | 76c | 368.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 25c | 330.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Over | 75c | 322.96$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 25c | 305.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 25c | 299.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Over | 77c | 285.84$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Over | 76c | 281.69$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 175 | 68.6%120 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 76c | 278.51$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 76c | 264.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…c29fbacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…746ebacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759e…8afdbacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…e226backed Over | 76c | 260.64$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed Over | 76c | 260$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 24c | 242.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 78c | 230.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fa…de8ebacked Under | 25c | 230$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 75c | 218.48$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9e…4cf7backed Over | 78c | 212$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Under | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…9e2fbacked Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 23c | 199.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…96cbbacked Over | 76c | 199.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…98e3backed Over | 75c | 199.21$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…7469backed Over | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 25c | 192.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 20c | 188.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Under | 24c | 183.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 74c | 183.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Over | 75c | 180.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…ba23backed Over | 78c | 171.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…633cbacked Over | 75c | 169.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Over | 75c | 167.06$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Under | 25c | 166.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 197 | 34.5%68 W · 129 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1f…e1f9backed Over | 76c | 156.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 75c | 152.48$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…6543backed Over | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Over | 75c | 149.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…ad2fbacked Over | 78c | 143.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c7…1be8backed Over | 75c | 142.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 75c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…9fd6backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…4624backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8221…2217backed Over | 75c | 132.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 58 | 79.3%46 W · 12 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…49c7backed Over | 76c | 130.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Over | 77c | 129$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 74c | 128.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 80c | 126.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)United States won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.