TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc78a…ea34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
860
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT44062.7%276 W · 164 L-1.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 440 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$19.08
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.65
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Lodis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.2
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$11.4
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
LoL: CCG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Contingent Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$20.36
Showing 25 of 440 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20367%136 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 203 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.91
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.1
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.59
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.3
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.95
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$18.16
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$42.5
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.8
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Showing 25 of 203 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT5468.5%37 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Diyar Nurgozhay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Tommy McMillen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed RJ Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$62.21
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Shara Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michal Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Manel Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vinicius Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.6
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Farés Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.8
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Alessandro Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$20.06
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5377.4%41 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$351.25
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.03
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.75
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.1
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$163.35
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$231.77
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$340.88
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$287.03
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.4
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$213.2
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$339.9
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$166.5
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$221.4
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$128.7
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$67.5
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$27.5
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$59.4
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$86.1
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$120.4
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.2
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$75.6
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT4367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$49.6
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.25
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$115.6
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$289.8
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$88
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.6
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$135
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$56
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$51.71
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$144.9
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.12
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.75
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$36.37
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2080%16 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Jesper de Jongbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Croatia Open: Vit Kopriva vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$88.83
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Valentin Royerbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.59
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$24.88
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$27.22
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$82.35
Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Miami Open: Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.7
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Ferybacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.