TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Valentin Royer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ethan Quinnof Ethan Quinn, Valentin Royer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x23cd…a835backed Ethan Quinn68c4,104$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.31366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Valentin Royer18c3,523$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.378,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Valentin Royer30c2,939$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.533,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Ethan Quinn76c2,482$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.681,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcd…0320backed Valentin Royer15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804141.5%17 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Ethan Quinn72c1,101$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.275,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Ethan Quinn68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32054138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ethan Quinn71c913.39$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.889,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Ethan Quinn69c874.11$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.1136157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Valentin Royer32c811.76$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.763,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Valentin Royer32c789.98$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7913029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Valentin Royer32c750.73$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Valentin Royer32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.067,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Valentin Royer3c579.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.462727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valentin Royer26c528.24$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.818,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Valentin Royer30c372.03$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.121,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Valentin Royer32c370.59$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.592,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x512a…d537backed Ethan Quinn68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.659340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Ethan Quinn64c313.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.337748.1%37 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb91…dd87backed Valentin Royer16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504012.5%5 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-52%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Ethan Quinn68c308.82$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8244751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Ethan Quinn68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9634761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Ethan Quinn67c299.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.11,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c64…cb99backed Valentin Royer19c299.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.444723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Valentin Royer32c293.77$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.91,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Valentin Royer39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.519740.6%80 W · 117 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Valentin Royer15c228.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.292,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a17…910dbacked Ethan Quinn68c205.88$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.885255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ethan Quinn71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Valentin Royer32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Valentin Royer32c194.84$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.352,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Valentin Royer31c191.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.024,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Valentin Royer34c188.24$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6464350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Valentin Royer35c172.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89ab…14e7backed Valentin Royer32c159.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.191546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Ethan Quinn68c159.06$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.928147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Valentin Royer33c158$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4685748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Ethan Quinn68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0640554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Valentin Royer34c145$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.318244%80 W · 102 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Ethan Quinn67c122$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2656651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2842…fb48backed Ethan Quinn68c117.44$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5821159.7%126 W · 85 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Valentin Royer33c117.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.634,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Valentin Royer33c115.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.012,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Valentin Royer25c112.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.158,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Valentin Royer28c107.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4492145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Valentin Royer24c104.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9636545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Ethan Quinn67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Valentin Royer32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.743952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc78a…ea34backed Ethan Quinn68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322176.2%16 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Valentin Royer32c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Ethan Quinn67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6317046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Valentin Royer32c73.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.681,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Ethan Quinn67c67.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5485348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Valentin Royer32c62.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.883447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Valentin Royer25c59.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8560141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Valentin Royer34c59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.062,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Ethan Quinn65c58.62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.521,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Valentin Royer38c56.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2636743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff06…c7d5backed Valentin Royer19c52.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014757.8%85 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Valentin Royer28c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5651457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Valentin Royer33c51.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176740.3%27 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Valentin Royer30c48.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.811,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb25e…1071backed Valentin Royer29c48.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.074047.5%19 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd995…a618backed Valentin Royer29c48.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.072572%18 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Valentin Royer29c48.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.162,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2846…267fbacked Valentin Royer29c45.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25356.6%30 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Valentin Royer33c44.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.733,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Ethan Quinn70c42.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.828442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Valentin Royer32c42.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5399056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae63…9dcdbacked Ethan Quinn67c41.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7920552.2%107 W · 98 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Valentin Royer33c37.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Ethan Quinn69c34.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8545744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Valentin Royer33c31.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5213354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Ethan Quinn74c27.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0741768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Ethan Quinn65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.753,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Ethan Quinn67c23.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9127664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Ethan Quinn70c22.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Ethan Quinn77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5380341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Ethan Quinn67c17.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7967848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f29…5dfabacked Ethan Quinn67c14.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9412067.5%81 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.