TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7932…5b38

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
446
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT36157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 361 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$111.09
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+525%+$376.58
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.81
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$126.61
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.6
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$216.46
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$281.57
National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
National Bank Open: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$189.47
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$54.46
National Bank Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canadian Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Duncan Chanbacked Duncan Chan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.33
Generali Open: Alexandre Muller vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$32.68
Estoril Open, Qualification: Orlando Luz vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.97
Generali Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Daniel Michalskibacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$134.31
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.72
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$133.7
Showing 25 of 361 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+624.6%+$3,123.19
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,423.08
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$32.38
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.67
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.74
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,966.79
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$35.49
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$32.28
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$434.92
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.26
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.37
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$394
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$32.34
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$467.09
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$72.2
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$830
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$110.75
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$48.44
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.34
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$16.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick38cpaid+99.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$104.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$111.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.