TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

National Bank Open: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Fils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arthur Filsof Zachary Svajda, Arthur Fils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Zachary Svajda27c27,135$7,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,353.578,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Arthur Fils66c7,375$4,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.9866649.5%330 W · 336 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Zachary Svajda25c6,367$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.864,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Zachary Svajda12c6,135$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.829735.7%106 W · 191 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Arthur Fils50c5,047$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.385836.2%21 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zachary Svajda18c4,718$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.258,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Zachary Svajda12c4,615$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.151,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Arthur Fils73c4,545$3,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.144369.8%30 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Arthur Fils75c3,731$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.593,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arthur Fils78c3,093$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.7511,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Zachary Svajda33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99010438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac86…985bbacked Zachary Svajda22c2,782$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Arthur Fils67c2,706$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.014,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Zachary Svajda27c2,637$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.0936538.4%140 W · 225 L+16.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arthur Fils74c2,202$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.118,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Arthur Fils75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50035038.3%134 W · 216 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Arthur Fils77c1,901$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.755,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arthur Fils74c1,828$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.421,92055.4%1,064 W · 856 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Arthur Fils72c1,744$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.212,30451.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L+10.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Zachary Svajda16c1,630$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8571725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Arthur Fils74c1,622$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.6292655.9%518 W · 408 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Zachary Svajda28c1,320$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.647842.5%203 W · 275 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Zachary Svajda32c1,200$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38445036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Arthur Fils78c1,159$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.062,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Zachary Svajda32c1,150$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36822152.5%116 W · 105 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Zachary Svajda35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Zachary Svajda18c947.14$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.192,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Zachary Svajda26c921.55$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.574,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Zachary Svajda36c836.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,83648.4%889 W · 947 L-32.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Arthur Fils73c835.78$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.131,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Zachary Svajda17c831.64$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.282,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Zachary Svajda30c828.47$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4227139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Zachary Svajda31c827$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.372055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Zachary Svajda15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12064240.2%258 W · 384 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Arthur Fils76c789.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4736157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Zachary Svajda38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027132.5%88 W · 183 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…b9f5backed Arthur Fils73c789.04$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.046036.7%22 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Arthur Fils49c720.82$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.4753942.1%227 W · 312 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Zachary Svajda17c693.4$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.741,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe585…09efbacked Arthur Fils63c675.6$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.972250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa216…b201backed Zachary Svajda42c592.5$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8511757.3%67 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Zachary Svajda28c536.42$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3142747.8%204 W · 223 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Arthur Fils75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Zachary Svajda22c470$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.412754.3%69 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Zachary Svajda29c459.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5466347.1%312 W · 351 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Arthur Fils73c444$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8839055.6%217 W · 173 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Arthur Fils79c433.94$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.151,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Arthur Fils69c430$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.324340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e54…e773backed Arthur Fils73c416.31$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.46952.2%36 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed Arthur Fils74c416.31$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8413138.2%50 W · 81 L-16.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xad5c…17eebacked Arthur Fils74c416.31$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.242748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf353…692abacked Arthur Fils49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.167650%38 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Arthur Fils75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10050147.7%239 W · 262 L-15.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Arthur Fils76c394.72$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7322339%87 W · 136 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd325…2482backed Zachary Svajda13c378.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.469433%31 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Arthur Fils73c350$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.528556.1%160 W · 125 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18b0…839fbacked Zachary Svajda15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Zachary Svajda31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044950.8%228 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Arthur Fils74c300.87$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5813647.8%65 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Zachary Svajda17c300.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1687450.6%442 W · 432 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Zachary Svajda29c298.45$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6495050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Zachary Svajda12c277.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9765942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed Zachary Svajda28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Zachary Svajda26c261.17$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.913,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Zachary Svajda40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Arthur Fils52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12017051.8%88 W · 82 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Zachary Svajda14c249.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3547252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Zachary Svajda20c236.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3742546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Zachary Svajda20c231.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3385741.7%357 W · 500 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Arthur Fils74c209.58$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.491,54049.2%758 W · 782 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf126…a54cbacked Arthur Fils74c180.28$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.74440.9%18 W · 26 L-8.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa15b…128abacked Arthur Fils75c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.514571.7%104 W · 41 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5d7…c129backed Zachary Svajda25c160.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404323.3%10 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8b…13e6backed Arthur Fils69c158.75$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7511462.3%71 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…44d6backed Arthur Fils73c146.84$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.655664.3%36 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Zachary Svajda8c145.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0819540%78 W · 117 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Zachary Svajda31c144.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.368942.7%38 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Arthur Fils73c144.22$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.943,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Zachary Svajda21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020336.5%74 W · 129 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed Zachary Svajda36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013048.5%63 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c7…d6babacked Zachary Svajda36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Arthur Fils72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8958359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Arthur Fils73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9974861.9%463 W · 285 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Arthur Fils74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1444359.8%265 W · 178 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Arthur Fils66c133.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3358931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4da6…3a54backed Zachary Svajda30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403119.4%6 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Arthur Fils75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3324848.4%120 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee5…ae90backed Arthur Fils64c132.48$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.488055%44 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Arthur Fils71c126.94$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8123271.1%165 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f3…b21cbacked Arthur Fils73c125.53$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.895468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Arthur Fils65c123.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.946,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Zachary Svajda39c121.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0233550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Zachary Svajda24c119.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3963537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Arthur Fils77c116.66$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3724858.5%145 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1691…f891backed Arthur Fils77c115.35$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5827567.3%185 W · 90 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Zachary Svajda31c111.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3531447.8%150 W · 164 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b3…4e84backed Zachary Svajda28c111$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+249%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Zachary Svajda26c105$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.291845.4%417 W · 501 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Arthur Fils77c103.12$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.386,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc34…0953backed Arthur Fils62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.