TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ee5…ae90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 50 out of 100; worst Mls at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT8055%44 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+139.1%+$55.63
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$21.75
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
National Bank Open: Linda Noskova vs Caty McNallybacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$19.01
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.43
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will Taylor Fritz Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.25
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
National Bank Open: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$47.48
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$180.68
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frechbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$75.67
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$262
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.77
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+621.8%+$404.2
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+291.2%+$210.31
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.8
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$391.85
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$54.51
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.36
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$43.11
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.77
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$205.91
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.37
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+45%+$148.47
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28%+$70.1
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$252.09
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Austin FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.