Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1953f1f6dc2ffbaa173b42ec213e01c27de1937bf5d93c87e60f4795f4cb3959

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,714 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xab1c…aaddbacked No	33c	1,989$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.4	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No	54c	1,457$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$783.81	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	18c	1,306$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.78	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No	27c	989.45$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.24	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes	71c	888$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.52	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a6c…5048backed Yes	76c	887.33$671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.61	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x234e…240bbacked No	58c	866.66$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes	67c	781.07$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.31	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes	46c	600$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4581…1f1abacked Yes	78c	504.1$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.96	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+67.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	76c	503.98$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.11	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	53c	474.99$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.35	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	57c	468.64$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.24	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	73c	459.11$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.85	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	43c	437.53$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.09	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	71c	397.32$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.6	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed No	55c	386.47$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.36	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No	19c	355.41$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.53	217	22.1%48 W · 169 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf45…5903backed Yes	51c	325.77$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.67	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	45c	271.56$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.29	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed No	53c	218.83$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.56	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	55c	210.55$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.92	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59fb…eceabacked No	22c	204.63$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.92	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes	72c	199.99$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes	77c	185.01$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.4	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	49c	181.63$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.38	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked No	58c	172.76$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.2	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Yes	51c	172.75$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.75	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No	26c	170.63$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.94	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	42c	169.88$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.53	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Yes	73c	166.56$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.56	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed Yes	75c	150$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked No	21c	149.97$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.49	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	60c	149.78$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.62	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x064f…e6b8backed Yes	44c	142.89$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.02	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xece8…130fbacked Yes	73c	136.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.49	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1e…c5e3backed No	41c	122.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29e…841dbacked No	28c	115.67$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.39	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes	70c	110.68$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.7	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	59c	102.33$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed Yes	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked Yes	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Yes	70c	99.99$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a19…2328backed No	48c	99.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	+204.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	38c	93.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked No	17c	86.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c79…6746backed No	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed No	33c	81.82$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes	61c	77.11$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.39	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	58c	77$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.16	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	16c	74.29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	30c	68.58$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.23	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x503e…999cbacked Yes	46c	65.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.22	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x731c…cf86backed Yes	50c	60.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.43	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	25c	56.88$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7026…28d2backed No	55c	51$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e51…dd4fbacked Yes	77c	50.71$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.71	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	33cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c91…5cccbacked No	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa688…0f82backed No	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked No	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x023d…3431backed No	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked No	53c	49.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes	72c	48.73$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.65	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab5…f570backed No	47c	47.45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.07	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	-10.9wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-74%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x92a9…fb3cbacked Yes	42c	46.43$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.93	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee5…ae90backed Yes	72c	41.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	57c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.25	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848f…612fbacked No	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	93	58.1%54 W · 39 L	+11.6wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa859…d8f8backed Yes	63c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7db…569dbacked Yes	78c	38.46$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.46	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7597…5f01backed Yes	63c	38.36$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.24	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	61c	37.59$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.52	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd11a…5ffdbacked Yes	76c	36.67$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.7wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	43c	35$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes	36c	32.5$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…024ebacked Yes	78c	32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.04	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	71cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes	62c	31.2$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.87	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	69c	31.14$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb993…3b98backed No	47c	30.38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes	78c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	132	51.5%68 W · 64 L	+8.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c65…845dbacked Yes	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes	74c	26.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.89	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc943…0a13backed No	50c	26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b16…1290backed Yes	78c	25.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.77	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef9…e909backed Yes	60c	25.04$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.04	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c12…91fcbacked Yes	78c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	63	71.4%45 W · 18 L	+9.4wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	104	61.5%64 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	42c	24.26$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe116…96c2backed Yes	74c	20.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.27	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2689…5f42backed Yes	74c	20.18$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.18	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c60…5c52backed Yes	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes	63c	18.67$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.83	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes	76c	18.67$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.48	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b56…d1e1backed Yes	66c	16.29$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.48	32	78.1%25 W · 7 L	+4.9wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+23%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed Yes	73c	16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.32	83	56.6%47 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d9…2df8backed Yes	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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