Will Darwin Nunez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92b4644700708b8905203a2d844bca48a23a2fc67de23a0747277f96e39336f6

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,943 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8d85…f4e0backed Yes	68c	550$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.75	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+5.3wins	+0.20per pick	45cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	58c	499.94$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.38	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes	17c	354.03$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No	32c	300$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	75	40%30 W · 45 L	+6.6wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No	71c	300$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.57	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	26c	240.83$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.21	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No	32c	200$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No	53c	160$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.8	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	38c	152.85$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.97	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	68c	124.98$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.49	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes	71c	114.38$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.36	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	46c	111$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.57	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed Yes	56c	75$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes	72c	74.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No	38c	66$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	70c	60$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.8	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	46c	54.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b73…e9f3backed Yes	64c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes	59c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	79c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked No	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked No	79c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9065…e61fbacked No	31c	48.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.39	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+129.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked Yes	47c	47.49$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.32	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	49c	45.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1332…01b0backed No	27c	36.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.61per pick	39cpaid	+182.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	51c	34.06$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.69	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc349…82d7backed No	40c	33.78$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.41	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	73c	30$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…8c5fbacked Yes	73c	27.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-8.9wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4d43…80acbacked Yes	70c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x330f…8adabacked Yes	74c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed Yes	64c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed No	63c	17.19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.28	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes	72c	14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	198	74.7%148 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Darwin Nunez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event