Will Bruno Fernandes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83266f9486706fe871101e63263d0c54df0e5ed63acc1d320f2a1f11f6af856f

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,256 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No	17c	601.2$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes	21c	238.33$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.39	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x064f…e6b8backed Yes	27c	198.89$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.7	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes	70c	184.98$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.49	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	70c	174$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.2	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	57c	173.26$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.26	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	67c	144.23$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.2	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Yes	71c	140.63$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	133	72.9%97 W · 36 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39a2…96e2backed No	26c	112.17$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.55	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.21per pick	19cpaid	+102.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	28c	105$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.58	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked No	17c	99.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.99	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed No	31c	97.26$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.26	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	31c	79.32$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.88	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	65c	78.9$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.91	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb842…330ebacked No	14c	72$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.92	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	79c	52.5$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.02	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes	42c	51$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.42	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	70c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	71c	50$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c89…0057backed Yes	69c	49.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No	23c	49.04$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.76	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea1…27e6backed Yes	24c	48.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d6…551abacked No	34c	41.18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.18	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…4cf8backed Yes	68c	40.51$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fd…9963backed Yes	40c	37.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b56…d1e1backed No	41c	36.24$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.24	32	78.1%25 W · 7 L	+4.9wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+23%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes	66c	29.36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked No	40c	29$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.45	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5118…6dd3backed Yes	73c	27.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b9…0d75backed Yes	43c	25.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x288e…eb48backed Yes	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed No	58c	24.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.33	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf58b…51fdbacked No	68c	23.5$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.52	125	50.4%63 W · 62 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	71c	21.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc436…76c9backed Yes	74c	16.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bruno Fernandes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event