Will Breel Embolo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb61d6b28465bd49b57e9acf29851b9051cfaf77df415a96b955f3c882eff564b

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,193 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	1c	1,111$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	16c	615$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb842…330ebacked No	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.42	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	78c	82.3$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.8	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed No	19c	80$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	82	18.3%15 W · 67 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed No	20c	67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	16c	64$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	28c	53.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	20c	51.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc104…f24fbacked Yes	78c	51.19$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.39	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Yes	71c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	79c	21.15$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.44	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	141	30.5%43 W · 98 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	67c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Breel Embolo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event