Will Ivan Perišić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58b2c545af6df500424b4789809d99c1568e80ec5c5011bf09388f4ee61b1b78

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,488 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8af7…8dd2backed No	14c	328.67$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.98	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+7.2wins	+0.36per pick	19cpaid	+146%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	57c	221.01$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.49	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	64c	192.21$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.66	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	46c	107.32$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.95	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed Yes	42c	102.38$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.38	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc104…f24fbacked Yes	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	34c	97.32$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.59	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	51c	74.71$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.61	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	43c	64.53$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	42c	64.18$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.22	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	76c	59.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.59	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	62c	58.32$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.16	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	60c	52.5$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No	62c	52.49$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.54	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e2…9629backed No	48c	48.08$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.08	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	72c	45.55$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.95	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	79c	45.17$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.66	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	46c	42$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.68	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked No	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	57c	37.04$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.97	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	60c	33.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	41c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.75	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a90…de67backed Yes	66c	24$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.16	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked Yes	52c	21.62$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.38	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c4e…804cbacked Yes	66c	21$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.14	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed Yes	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-9.0wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7437…6e31backed Yes	64c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ivan Perišić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event