Will Brahim Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ebed46c54bdea8aa35a6629d8c508c776dcd228b2356cf5f4c249e7900e6cc7

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,456 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	66c	493.27$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.56	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes	47c	352.71$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.19	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No	77c	238.19$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.71	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	44c	230.78$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.79	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	75c	229.63$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.99	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked Yes	54c	215.08$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.17	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	76c	150$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a5b…acf6backed Yes	12c	141.81$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	73c	130.09$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.72	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc48e…0ebebacked Yes	75c	130$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes	13c	114.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.33	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	56c	109.24$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.32	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf6d…f13bbacked No	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No	24c	100$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb639…5b97backed No	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	34c	74.61$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.99	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a96…69debacked No	25c	67.84$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.88	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+3.8wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	32c	65$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.55	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a34…959bbacked Yes	32c	61.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	31c	59.4$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.29	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	75c	53.59$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.64	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	45c	52.5$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.88	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0855…ae26backed No	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c8b…867bbacked No	25c	50$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes	68c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No	31c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	225	50.7%114 W · 111 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb6…8e4abacked Yes	67c	46.64$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.25	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	38cpaid	-75%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	39c	44.72$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.12	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No	27c	41.29$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	68c	36.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	47c	34.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	67c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0b…7429backed Yes	72c	27.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed No	77c	25.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.97	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	69c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51d…1578backed Yes	66c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed No	64c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed Yes	68c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Yes	58c	19.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.59	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d38…96fdbacked Yes	59c	18.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Brahim Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event