Will Bernardo Silva score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f78748568ba8860b97076e2f487023fa41e29d9b246bdbbbf79bef44eec3371

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,307 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	76c	540.58$412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.45	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	45c	443.66$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked No	37c	199.99$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.59	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	54c	165.99$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.82	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	55c	165$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.25	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed No	53c	164.91$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.91	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	57c	119.29$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.68	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed No	44c	102$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e2…9629backed No	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288e…eb48backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	56c	85$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.9	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…ef46backed No	55c	80$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	47c	72.76$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No	57c	71.51$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.75	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	56c	71.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.43	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	56c	70$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	43c	60$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb3f…5e72backed Yes	38c	59.96$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.76	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	45c	57.42$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.57	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	45c	56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.06	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	55c	55.55$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	57c	52.26$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.47	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…c50bbacked Yes	45c	52$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	48c	51.42$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.74	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d0…ce35backed Yes	54c	46.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	36cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Yes	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No	55c	46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.7	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	50c	45$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	50c	45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e3…b6d0backed No	53c	40.8$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-12.2wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	58c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d43…80acbacked Yes	60c	39.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.99	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xffc6…411fbacked Yes	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No	54c	36.65$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.86	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	45c	31.46$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec1…b807backed No	50c	31.08$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.54	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	46c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	43c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	54c	24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	57c	23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.89	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736e…a144backed Yes	48c	20.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed No	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe2…f2b0backed Yes	64c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac2d…a9c4backed Yes	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832b…5c91backed No	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bernardo Silva score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event