Will Désiré Doué score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf5a012d332d62d58aa38a23891395f87029664f8ad9c6c9f3e85223a6bc21a9

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,580 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5999…bf2cbacked No	47c	756.78$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.85	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked No	24c	331.5$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb673…329abacked Yes	66c	328.6$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.19	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	31cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	57c	234$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.88	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x716a…f358backed Yes	58c	199.82$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.92	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	25c	118$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.15	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	72c	112$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.93	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	34c	102.01$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.53	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de5…e874backed Yes	68c	99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.68	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	56c	80.29$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.6	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	67c	75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed No	35c	71.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	76c	70$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	77c	51$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	58c	51$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.42	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0111…6ac0backed No	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	66c	45.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.72	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf98…2759backed Yes	58c	43.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc104…f24fbacked Yes	65c	42.86$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b30…100fbacked No	27c	41.28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	70c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c71…9338backed Yes	66c	35.01$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.9	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	66c	32.12$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	67c	31.06$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	42c	25.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f0…78babacked No	49c	22.16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d43…80acbacked Yes	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes	69c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.2	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	-6.9wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cf8…69abbacked Yes	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Désiré Doué score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event