Will Gonçalo Ramos score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09a56bdae699fada0a5c696a50f4d765d26dd1aa28f9a469f34b3a8b0f7fcd65

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	47c	567.38$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.74	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8af7…8dd2backed No	14c	328.68$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.99	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+7.2wins	+0.36per pick	19cpaid	+146%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	41c	263.17$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.98	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	58c	256.44$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	48c	209.89$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.23	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ab…e8debacked Yes	71c	158.33$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.5	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked Yes	68c	147.62$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.62	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed No	35c	128.01$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf6d…f13bbacked No	43c	125$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.75	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No	30c	121$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.93	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	32c	103.37$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.58	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed No	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb673…329abacked Yes	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	31cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	65c	99.97$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.99	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	66c	89.99$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.9	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	56c	81.18$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.73	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	46c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	68c	58.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.67	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Yes	69c	58.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	40c	50.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.51	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No	78c	50$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes	42c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked No	50c	48.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.58	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed No	44c	48$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	35c	47.16$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.51	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f9…c50bbacked Yes	65c	38.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.46	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c60…5c52backed No	74c	30$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300c…333fbacked Yes	68c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	146	52.7%77 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e3…b6d0backed Yes	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-12.2wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc436…76c9backed Yes	64c	19.56$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.04	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	65c	19.55$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.84	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Gonçalo Ramos score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event