Will Alphonso Davies score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x269663ace4ba68d2ec2fef470d1f48183c1b90738bd8b050b399de5f19a82102

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,973 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes	20c	303.2$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	9c	147.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	22c	106$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.88	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	79c	98.53$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.16	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No	72c	93.5$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.23	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	76c	91.67$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	21c	79.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf6d…f13bbacked No	70c	75.63$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.69	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c4…0051backed Yes	30c	75.63$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.69	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	21c	72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes	28c	70.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6071…e933backed Yes	26c	63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.19	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+3.8wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+51%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed Yes	22c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-9.0wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	19c	56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	18c	55.01$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Yes	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed No	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-8.8wins	-0.10per pick	62cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No	73c	40$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c60…5c52backed No	75c	39$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.75	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked No	79c	31.48$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.48	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	75c	21.2$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.3	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Alphonso Davies score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event