Will Che Adams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f0f47f54a314983aa1e51e3a5b28b48b0eae3ad471c0f8ee1d4a791fec1bd86

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,428 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb437…cfb3backed No	59c	241.99$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.96	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	59c	217.04$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.65	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed No	41c	180.01$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.71	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+5.3wins	+0.20per pick	45cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes	33c	174.81$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	48	62.5%30 W · 18 L	+4.7wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes	41c	145$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.95	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d57…bd62backed No	34c	119.85$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.3	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	50c	112.26$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.02	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd458…b521backed No	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	61c	80.13$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.57	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	49c	75$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.6	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59fb…eceabacked Yes	61c	70$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.7	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa935…e865backed Yes	60c	69.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	64c	57.49$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.75	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	73c	52.12$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.23	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	77c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes	57c	40$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	141	30.5%43 W · 98 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee57…52a4backed No	60c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…1dfdbacked Yes	64c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf00…33a7backed No	57c	39$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.77	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+54%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7437…6e31backed No	43c	39$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.05	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No	48c	39$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.28	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked No	76c	38$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.12	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e2…9629backed No	70c	35.93$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.93	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	59c	35.7$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.01	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked No	37c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb099…973abacked Yes	67c	29.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked No	58c	28.85$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.03	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Yes	63c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked Yes	67c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.21per pick	59cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2390…d010backed Yes	64c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Che Adams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event