TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,264 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes46c547$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.535650%28 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+68.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Yes50c521.43$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.432552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59e4…3130backed Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No70c270.89$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1896048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No48c231.79$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1911156.8%63 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No64c227$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2816336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked No45c210.46$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2711632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802c…6120backed No41c205.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb723…d9dcbacked Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb6f…64b6backed Yes55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c0…2127backed Yes51c195.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes66c177.45$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9224954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No52c175.53$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.666239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes70c144.28$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2841231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes71c144$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5843145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No36c131.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.012,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked No49c126.15$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.711058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No40c106.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5712454%67 W · 57 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes60c105.56$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7548140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7417340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4ee…a423backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4976445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes61c96.7$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5542737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No67c94.03$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6313855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No45c88.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.895561.8%34 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No31c81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1118538.9%72 W · 113 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.222243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.85257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+44.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe1e2…9629backed No35c70.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed No52c57.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.875549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No44c56.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.293655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+93.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes40c52.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.516246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.545736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.57838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf65d…b385backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c8b…867bbacked No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed Yes34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338356.6%47 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No71c49.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4911256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No68c49.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9910847.2%51 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe4…2a32backed No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No62c42.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4488838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86ab…5fb4backed No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.610436.5%38 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes29c37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8647…d870backed No38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46443.8%28 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes60c28.41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.478542.4%36 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No49c23.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2248636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.215635.9%56 W · 100 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d43…80acbacked No65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1e3…b6d0backed Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66426.6%17 W · 47 L-12.2wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-56.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92962.1%18 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x25bd…30a1backed No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157562.7%47 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.