TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbe4…2a32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: IPO, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gavi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$15.57
Will Rodri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Will Martin Ødegaard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Fabián Ruiz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: Team to Take First Cornerbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$9.28
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$16.75
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$28.97
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
DR Congo leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.5
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$22.7
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$15.77
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$17.37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.92
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$24.42
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$47.06
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$8.81
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$25
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$16.7
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$67.47
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$34.88
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$31.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$22.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.