Will Martin Ødegaard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x714b16ff962e65b50af1c8e42f6884455e4370306fc1c7f00a40fd525e701e61

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,682 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5a74…9a36backed No	78c	300$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	28c	239.86$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.29	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	48c	219.1$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.57	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No	60c	199.86$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.94	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	47c	155.98$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.8	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	39c	148.57$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.25	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	64c	130$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.6	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	77c	129.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.9	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x166a…d7edbacked Yes	24c	117.66$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.57	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x064f…e6b8backed No	52c	115$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.26	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No	74c	109.32$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc7…116fbacked No	62c	107.26$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.76	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes	46c	105.8$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.67	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	22c	99.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	40c	99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	19c	98.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.65	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	63c	96.96$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	48c	95.41$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.41	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Yes	52c	89.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed Yes	40c	87.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.05	109	66.1%72 W · 37 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked No	53c	87.51$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.46	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	223	43.9%98 W · 125 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcbe…8ac8backed No	67c	74.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	62c	70$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.7	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	40c	62.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	61c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2b…2030backed No	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed7…8baebacked No	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	36cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	48c	55.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.67	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes	19c	54.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	72	50%36 W · 36 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked No	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd19…6910backed Yes	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc348…2a83backed Yes	49c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe2…768dbacked Yes	34c	41.63$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe4…2a32backed No	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Yes	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes	47c	37$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-15.0wins	-0.13per pick	62cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	47c	31.21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.54	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed No	62c	29.37$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.18	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	49c	27.84$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.2	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	52c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.66	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4d43…80acbacked No	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4760…33f4backed No	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1694…8badbacked No	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked No	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-9.0wins	-0.25per pick	64cpaid	-35%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x07a3…9af8backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3767…5e7cbacked No	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bd…30a1backed No	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	75	62.7%47 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Martin Ødegaard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event