TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd19…6910

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$83.28
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$45.85
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$73.87
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+187%+$20.57
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+59%+$14.74
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$208.08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$33.95
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$61.15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$14.14
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+151.4%+$18.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$18.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$22.38
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+365.1%+$47.45
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$44.44
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.47
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+499.7%+$159.89
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Martin Ødegaard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$47.49
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Leandro Trossard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.03
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+97.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.