TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,483,844

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,483,844 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeac4…c1ddbacked Yes58c1,027,039$595,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431,780.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0720…1cdbbacked Yes58c814,383$472,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342,041.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No43c558,427$240,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240,534.213633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No43c407,245$173,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,783.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No42c319,997$134,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,898.57742.9%33 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Yes58c200,868$116,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,364.491181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No42c183,133$76,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,359.8326047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes77c178,354$136,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,695.248751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No42c176,661$74,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,196.983737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No42c169,830$71,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,749.895545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed No42c159,264$66,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,773.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Yes56c150,000$84,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,0001580%12 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+102.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No42c139,999$58,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,598.874641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes58c136,897$79,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,497.073652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No43c136,216$58,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,150.971838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No36c135,208$48,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,125.53941%16 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c133,396$54,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,539.8761447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes59c130,000$76,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,3001478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c116,865$71,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,069.0229846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No42c110,800$46,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,5361338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes76c108,929$82,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,636.113843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes57c107,381$61,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,173.922937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No42c86,000$36,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,1204346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes57c74,496$42,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,974.5213245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes57c74,086$42,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,487.076657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No0c54,713$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.49382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick4cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c54,574$22,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,970.0859441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes65c53,185$34,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,75312344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No42c53,107$22,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,308.528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No38c50,000$19,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,218.1515442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No43c50,000$21,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,5002360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No42c50,000$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,0007346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes58c50,000$29,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,999.991560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No42c43,830$18,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,414.42433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c35,553$10,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,930.541,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No42c35,533$14,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,937.718040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No42c35,453$14,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,856.96844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No42c34,753$14,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,596.265433.3%18 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No42c34,600$14,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,5321844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes56c34,238$19,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,064.668258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No41c31,442$12,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,996.228231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes66c30,562$20,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,362.6958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1575…d20fbacked Yes58c30,009$17,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,603.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a1…f032backed Yes62c30,000$18,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,4002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No42c25,228$10,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,528.132729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes59c20,339$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,338.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,200.074746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No41c20,000$8,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,299.973141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.946344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6431…ab69backed Yes59c19,330$11,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,925.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No42c19,039$7,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,996.547145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed No42c18,088$7,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,664.071457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No42c18,000$7,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5302737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x169d…fb3dbacked No2c17,700$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.3825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-52.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No42c17,127$7,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,193.343751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No38c16,555$6,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,290.910443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No43c16,000$6,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8804247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed6a…7a28backed No42c15,770$6,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,623.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No42c15,631$6,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,490.74346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes60c15,371$9,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,075.0229350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes79c15,276$12,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.9910051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes58c15,148$8,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.699149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8e2…a7dabacked No42c14,390$6,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,043.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0772…fe89backed No42c14,256$5,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,98720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes57c13,812$7,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,903.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes62c12,500$7,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,750.073545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No40c12,310$4,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,971.636643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No41c12,301$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.766442.2%27 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed No42c11,905$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed No44c11,365$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No43c11,252$4,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,829.376852.9%36 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes57c10,526$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,526.322763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No43c10,500$4,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5153743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No42c10,266$4,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,311.721323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1002142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Yes57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1003357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.991861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+78.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No42c9,808$4,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,119.362744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes60c9,592$5,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.946048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No43c9,540$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1002040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No42c9,495$4,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0284323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes58c9,375$5,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,916.316144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed No41c9,000$3,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,690540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Yes58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.691968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes57c8,389$4,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,607.193056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No40c8,380$3,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,351.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c8,364$3,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,302.7646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No27c8,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.994020%8 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No42c7,854$3,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,298.455757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No42c7,823$3,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,285.581637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No42c7,279$3,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.182552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c7,030$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.741,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes64c7,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5007750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No42c7,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9401323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-59.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f5e…58efbacked No43c6,960$2,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d7…f14fbacked Yes70c6,815$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.712556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes59c6,806$3,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.093871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No41c6,766$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.138748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No39c6,697$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.171553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.